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E-commerce:                       package out of five is brought online. That   and one of them being worldwide inflation
          The only bright spot              means more parcels and less consolidation.”   which has impacted purchasing power. Even
          Everything in the world economy may seem   He also pointed out that 80 percent of   if you look at Purchasing Managers’ Index
          grim at this point in time but there are things   cross-border e-commerce is shipped by air   (PMI), which is a key indicator,  export orders
          to be positive about.             because of the speed advantage and the   have also fallen which is in line with the
            “We still have the GDP growing. We are   need to deliver faster. He was citing Alibaba's   reduced purchasing power of the consum-
          not going negative. The growth is slowing   promise to deliver domestically in China   ers. PMI has fallen more on the Asia Pacific
          down but the world economy is still growing   within 24 hours and globally within 72 hours.   side which is one of the biggest exporting
          which is a positive sign for the airfreight in-  In 2021, e-commerce generated 131 billion   regions,” he said.
          dustry in general,” said Neel Jones Shah, EVP   parcels which is already three times more   On the same line, the Association of Asia
          of airfreight strategy and carrier develop-  than in 2014 and it will also double to 260 bil-  Pacific Airlines (AAPA) in its September 2022
          ment at Flexport, while hosting the Logistics   lion parcels in 2025, according to him  results also reported that international air
          Rewired: Air Market Update webinar by                              cargo markets remained under pressure, “as
          Flexport on October 13, 2022.     Prepare for the unpredictable    export activity was hampered by depressed
            He particularly pointed out the develop-  Meanwhile, on October 5, 2022, Randy   business and consumer confidence levels
          ments in the e-commerce industry and its im-  Stanley, vice president of international air   amid a deterioration in global macroeco-
          pact on airfreight. “We still have pretty good   freight at UPS, while giving an update on the   nomic conditions.”
          e-commerce growth. Although it is slowing,   global air freight market, noted that the mar-  Subhas Menon, AAPA Director General
          cross-border e-commerce continues to grow   ket should be prepared for unpredictable   said, “The outlook for the cargo market re-
          in a very very strong way. And that is typically   experiences that we may experience citing   mains subdued in the near term. Overall, the
          one hundred percent airfreight,” he said.    the impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic and   region’s airlines continue to face a challeng-
            IATA in a market outlook webinar con-  Ukraine-Russia conflict in last two years.   ing operating environment, with operating
          ducted on October 5, 2022, also stressed the   “The demand has declined from the air   costs under pressure as a result of high fuel
          developments in the e-commerce segment   freight perspective. There has been less   prices and weak local currencies.”
          and the volume it brings to air cargo.   demand for manufactured goods in the last
            Andre Majeres, head of e-commerce and   three months.” He also reported that the   Demand vs supply
          cargo operations, IATA, “More and more re-  ocean freight, which  shifted to air before, is   Talking about the peak season, Chatter-
          tail is sold online and that has an impact on   now going back to the ocean.   jee said, “We are not expecting a surge in
          the logistics chain and on air cargo opera-  Indraneel Chatterjee, global airfreight   volumes compared to our previous experi-
          tions. The online penetration or online retail   product development at DHL Global For-  ences and it will remain low as inflation will
                          sales is at around 22   warding, pointed out the volume drop in   continue into next year. But there are certain
                              percent of total   July and how it continued to be low during   sectors that will show resilience, especially in
                                retail which   the market update webinar on October 19,   the technology industry because there are
                                means one   2022. “There are many underlying factors   product launches already in the plan.”



































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